Do The Math!

Ah, the debate. Those of us who support Mr. Obama were shocked by his apparent lack of combativeness in the first debate. But then I thought back to what I learned when going for my Master’s degree in Communication years ago: at the time of the very first televised debates, voters who watched on TV (the majority) gave the clear victory to Kennedy. Those, however, who listened on radio gave the edge to Nixon.

Now, I am not going to compare our current president with Tricky Dickey. But in reading excerpts of the recent debate, it becomes clear that Mr. Obama did land some body blows.

Specifically,  let’s focus on the sword play around the “$5 trillion tax cut.” The president said that’s how much Mitt’s tax cut plan would reduce revenue over the next decade, and independent non-partisan studies back up that claim (well, they actually come up with “only” $4.8 trillion, but a little rounding is permissible).

The former governor says his proposal is “revenue neutral.” That means while the federal government would be taking in much less money via taxes, his plan will “pay for” those reduced revenues by having the government spend much less. In other words, one dollar less in tax will be offset by one dollar not spent. This is the crux of the issue.  But HOW will he pay for those tax cuts? If he cannot offset those tax cuts, he explodes the deficit.

Mr. Obama pounced: “He is saying that he is going to pay for it by closing loopholes and deductions. The problem is that he’s been asked over 100 times how you would close those deductions and loopholes, and he hasn’t been able to identify them.”

That is correct. In TV and radio interviews, in press interviews, both Mr. Romney and Rep. Ryan sidestep the specifics. They want us to trust them. They have some secret sauce that will magically close deductions and loopholes, and the Congress will happily go along.

For anyone who knows anything about real-world politics, this is insane.  Armies of lobbyists would swamp Capitol Hill fighting furiously to preserve their favorite tax break.  And they will win many of those fights, just as they always have in the past.

Mitt gave a great performance at the first debate. But that’s all it was – a performance.  The more his script is analyzed, the more we see that it was a sad charade.

For a balanced look at how the math does and doesn’t add up, check out this article from Bloomberg News.

Thanks for caring about the truth.

Ken

Stick It to the Poor. Again.

Are you following the debate about how to fix the economy? For the average non-economist, trying to make sense of the arguments is futile. Both sides seem to have good arguments.That’s why a recent Op-Ed piece in the NY Times by David Stockman is so important. Stockman served as Ronald Reagan’s Budget Director for several years, and prior to that was a Republican Congressman.

Stockman took a look at the highly-touted plan offered by Republican Paul Ryan, Chairman of the House Budget Committee. Republicans, and much of the media, are making a hero out  of Rep. Ryan. He’s young, photogenic and people give him credit for being “courageous” because he is “willing” to discuss changes to entitlement programs, i.e., Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and food stamps

But Stockman bluntly says that Ryan’s plan puts “the entire burden of entitlement reform on the poor.”

Got that? Our GOP friends, according to one their own, want to fix the deficit by making life harder for the people who can least afford it. And of course, he, like all good Republicans, refuses to even consider letting tax rates for the wealthy go back to where they were under Clinton, when we are all doing well.

Does that make you proud to be an American? Is that what you stand for? Hurt the poor and middle class, while asking nothing extra from millionaires and billionaires?

Where is the “shared sacrifice” that politicians ask for?

And actually, it’s not a matter of raising taxes on the wealthy – it’s simply letting the Bush tax cuts expire. Those cuts were meant to be temporary; they were put in place because Bill Clinton handed George W. Bush a large budget surplus, and Bush basically said the U.S. should give back the “excess” taxes that were collected.

On the same day as the Stockman article appeared, Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman wrote that the Ryan/GOP plan calls “for tax cuts, with taxes on the wealthy falling to their lowest level since 1931.” Right. The US is desperate for income, yet Ryan says cut rates for the wealthiest even more!

Republicans claim, with a straight face, that we can’t raise taxes on millionaires because that would stifle job creation. WHAT A LOAD OF CRAP.  Business people – and I’m one – hire or fire based on what is best for our business. The idea that I would not hire another person for my firm merely because I had to pay slightly higher taxes is absurd beyond belief.

Sadly, few in the media ever challenge the GOP absurdity. We can only hope that the people will eventually see how the poor and middle class are getting screwed.

Below are links to the two articles.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/24/opinion/24stockman.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=stockman&st=cse

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/25/opinion/25krugman.html?scp=1&sq=krugman&st=Search